Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

Alaves take on Atletico Madrid in the La Liga on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, Alaves sit 6th in the La Liga on 11 points from 7 games, while Atletico Madrid are 2nd on 16 points.

Alaves come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WWLLD), scoring in 3 of them.

Atletico Madrid come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LLWWW), scoring in 4 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, Alaves have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 8 against Atletico Madrid. These fixtures have averaged 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

Defensively, Alaves kept 3 clean sheets and Atletico Madrid kept 4 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid is Away Team to Score at least one goal with a 80% confidence rating at odds of 1.2. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.0 goals per game, 47% both-teams-to-score), recent form (Alaves WWLLD, Atletico Madrid LLWWW), the 4-place gap between the sides in the table.