AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

AFC Ajax take on NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, AFC Ajax sit 5th in the Eredivisie on 14 points from 7 games, while NEC Nijmegen are 11th on 8 points.

AFC Ajax come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WLWWD), scoring in every game.

NEC Nijmegen come into this fixture having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games (LDLLD), scoring in 3 of them.

In their last 15 meetings, AFC Ajax have won 7, drawn 5 and lost 1 against NEC Nijmegen. These fixtures have averaged 2.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.

Defensively, AFC Ajax kept 2 clean sheets and NEC Nijmegen kept 1 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen is Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.16. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (2.9 goals per game, 53% both-teams-to-score), recent form (AFC Ajax WLWWD, NEC Nijmegen LDLLD), the 6-place gap between the sides in the table.