AFC Ajax vs Excelsior: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

AFC Ajax take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, AFC Ajax sit 5th in the Eredivisie on 15 points from 8 games, while Excelsior are 7th on 11 points.

Final result: AFC Ajax 2–2 Excelsior. the match ended level.

AFC Ajax come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WWDDL), scoring in every game.

Excelsior come into this fixture having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WDLDL), scoring in every game.

In their last 15 meetings, AFC Ajax have won 8, drawn 4 and lost 1 against Excelsior. These fixtures have averaged 3.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.

Defensively, AFC Ajax kept 0 clean sheets and Excelsior kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for AFC Ajax vs Excelsior is Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.8 goals per game, 73% both-teams-to-score), recent form (AFC Ajax WWDDL, Excelsior WDLDL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.