AFC Ajax vs Excelsior: Prediction, H2H & Betting Tips

AFC Ajax take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.

Going into the game, AFC Ajax sit 4th in the Eredivisie on 13 points from 6 games, while Excelsior are 6th on 10 points.

AFC Ajax come into this fixture having won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WWLWW), scoring in every game.

Excelsior come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (LWWDL), scoring in every game.

In their last 15 meetings, AFC Ajax have won 8, drawn 4 and lost 1 against Excelsior. These fixtures have averaged 3.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.

Defensively, AFC Ajax kept 0 clean sheets and Excelsior kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.

Our prediction for AFC Ajax vs Excelsior is Home Team to Score at least one goal before their opponent with a 88% confidence rating at odds of 1.12. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.8 goals per game, 73% both-teams-to-score), recent form (AFC Ajax WWLWW, Excelsior LWWDL), the 2-place gap between the sides in the table.