
Serie A · 20 September 2026

Match centre
Our prediction
H2UP
Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent
High
confidence
Value analysis
-11% edgeThe odds broadly match our model, so there's limited betting value here.
AC Milan take on Lecce in the Serie A on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Below is our data-driven preview and prediction for this fixture, based on head-to-head history, recent form and league position.
Going into the game, AC Milan sit 6th in the Serie A on 8 points from 4 games, while Lecce are 12th on 6 points.
AC Milan come into this fixture having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games (WWDDL), scoring in 4 of them.
Lecce come into this fixture having won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games (WWLLW), scoring in 3 of them.
In their last 15 meetings, AC Milan have won 10, drawn 3 and lost 0 against Lecce. These fixtures have averaged 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Defensively, AC Milan kept 7 clean sheets and Lecce kept 0 across those meetings, giving a useful guide to how tight this matchup tends to be.
Our prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce is Home Team to Score at least two goals first before their opponent with a 75% confidence rating at odds of 1.16. This tip is informed by the head-to-head trends above (3.0 goals per game, 40% both-teams-to-score), recent form (AC Milan WWDDL, Lecce WWLLW), the 6-place gap between the sides in the table.
Predictions are statistical estimates and not guaranteed outcomes. Compare markets and stake responsibly — never bet more than you can afford to lose.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2027 | Lecce | – | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 20 Sept 2026 | AC Milan | – | Lecce | Serie A |
| 18 Jan 2026 | AC Milan | 1–0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 23 Sept 2025 | AC Milan | 3–0 | Lecce | Coppa Italia |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Lecce | 0–2 | AC Milan | Serie A |